If you're looking for anything else, chances are Saipark is not for you this week, my friend. For this week in particular, the numbers show that it's pretty much worth, and it's the best chance you'll have in getting those 5% Lumas until they come back in the rotation. Ultimately it's up to you to decide whether that's worth it for you.Īs for Point (3), in my opinion I think it's great that there is a rotating "bonus week" that will remain relevant throughout the games lifetime, since it's designed to swap out Tems, attributes, Luma chances, etc. Temtem, the new Pokemon-like MMO, bears more than just a few similarities to the Pokemon franchise.One of these similarities is in the rare nature of certain Temtem, and if players know where to. That just seems worth it to me.Īs for Point (2), we've seen what the time commitment looks like. AND we've not yet considered how much more valuable Luma Barshee/Oceara are with these numbers. If you farm FreeTem at a rate of 6,000 - 8,000, you're looking at exchanging 3-4 hours of FreeTem grind to buy 15 Saicards and in doing so, you reduce your hunting time by 5 hours on average. Next 5 are ~13,000? (don't remember exactly) Next 5 are ~6,500? (don't remember exactly) Let's revisit Point (1): The price of Saicards. And if you feel like the unlucky type, it's even better! By participating in Saipark, you just reduced your (average) hunting time from 22.2 hours to 17.3 hours. Let's say you're a player with average luck, and you fall around that 50 percentile. The bottom figure compares Saipark in blue with the Normal rate in red. Now, let's compare hunting in Saipark vs hunting everywhere else, with the Normal rate of 1/8000. That 5% chance of wasting ~73.8 hours doesn't seem likely, but if 100,000 players were hunting in Saipark in this way, that means 5,000 of them are having a VERY rough time. Or, you have a 5% chance to be a poor sod and NOT find a Luma within ~73.8 hours. This is saying you have a 95% chance to find at least 1 Luma within ~73.8 hours The magenta region depicts 95% probability. Or, you have 25% chance to NOT find a Luma within ~34.2 hours This is saying you have a 75% chance to find at least 1 Luma within ~34.2 hours This is saying you have a 50% chance you will find at least 1 Luma within ~17.3 hours.Ĭonversely, you have a 50% chance you will NOT find a Luma within ~17.3 hours The yellow region depicts 50% probability. focused hunting)įor you statisticians, this shows The thick blue line in the top figure shows the probability of finding at least 1 Luma within a certain number of hours. I'd like to tackle all three of these points with some math, and hopefully inform you as to what you are buying into when participating in Saipark. However, Point (1) really hasn't seen much defense. Points (2) and (3) have been debated left and right, but people still aren't happy. TL DR - (1) Saicards may be more worth than you think (2) Luma hunting time, with numbers (3) I think Saipark is neatīrowsing through the sub, I've noticed there are people that are still unhappy with
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